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Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels · NSE: COALINDIA

Coal India Limited - Fair Value & Intrinsic Value Estimate

Intrynsic's multi-model valuation estimates Coal India Limited's fair value at ₹629 per share (range ₹399–₹856) against a market price of ₹425 - a gap of +47.9% (updated 29 September 2026). This is an estimated fair value based on stated assumptions, not investment advice.

Low ₹399Below fair-value est.High ₹856

Market price

₹425

close of 29 Sept 2026

Est. fair value

₹629

₹399–₹856

Gap

+47.9%

price vs estimate

Trading ~48% below our estimated fair-value range. Assumptions and per-model workings are below.

What Coal India Limited does

Coal India is the world's largest coal miner and supplies most of the coal burned in India's power plants, with the government as majority owner. Volumes are steady and it pays out a large share of profit as dividends.

Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels · Consumable Fuels

Health signals

GrowthRevenue +6.8%/yr (3y)Okay

Over the last 3 years, revenue grew 6.8%/yr and profit grew -0.7%/yr.

ProfitabilityROE 26.1%Good

Every ₹100 of shareholder money earned ₹26.1 in profit last year, vs a sector median of 12.8%.

DebtD/E 0.12Good

It holds more cash than debt.

Valuation+48% vs estimateGood

The market price is below our estimated fair-value range (based on stated assumptions).

Quality₹64 cash per ₹100 profitOkay

About ₹64 of every ₹100 of reported profit turned into free cash (median, last 5 years); operating cash flow was positive in 5 of 5 years.

The valuation, explained- models, weights & assumptions ▾

Intrynsic values Coal India Limited with 5 independent models and blends them into one estimated fair-value range. Every number below is an estimate based on the stated assumptions - change the assumptions and the estimate changes.

ModelEstimated valuevs priceWeight
EV/EBITDAIndustry Comparison Method₹629+48%-
EV/EBITAfter-Depreciation Comparison Method₹856+101%-
P/E MultipleEarnings Multiple Method₹806+90%-
DCFFuture Cash Flows Method₹554+30%-
DDMDividend Discount Method₹399-6%-

Key assumptions

Risk-free rate
7.0%
Equity risk premium
6.5%
Beta
0.776
Cost of equity
12.0%
Terminal growth
5.0%
Tax rate
25%

Reverse DCF: today's market price implies the company must grow free cash flow about 0.0% a year for the next decade - versus 11.3% historical revenue growth.

Key financialsFY17–FY26

Full statements & analysis →
Revenue₹1,68,400 Cr
Net profit₹31,071 Cr
EPS₹50.46
Free cash flow₹31,123 Cr
ROE (latest)26.1%
Revenue growth (CAGR)8.9%
Profit growth (CAGR)14.4%

Peers

Sandur Manganese & Iron Ores Limited₹8,625 CrP/E 13.2ROE 20.2%
Foundry Fuel Products Ltd.₹5 Cr
Caliber Mining and Logistics Limited₹2,804 CrP/E 17.7ROE 24.4%
Bharat Coking Coal Limited₹14,778 CrP/E 113.4ROE 2.2%
Ask AI about Coal India LimitedChat with Intrynsic's research agent about results, risks and filings.Sign up free →Track it in your watchlistFair-value alerts, result-day briefs and portfolio analytics.Sign up free →See the full model workingsEvery assumption, per-model trace, reverse DCF and peer lens.Sign up free →

Frequently asked questions

What is Coal India Limited's intrinsic value?

Intrynsic's multi-model valuation estimates Coal India Limited's fair value at ₹629 per share (range ₹399–₹856), last updated 29 September 2026. This is an estimate based on stated assumptions, not investment advice.

Is Coal India Limited overvalued or undervalued?

Coal India Limited trades at ₹425 against Intrynsic's estimated fair value of ₹629 - the market price is 48% below the estimate, i.e. below our estimated fair-value range. Different assumptions produce different estimates; see the model breakdown above.

What is Coal India Limited's P/E ratio?

Coal India Limited trades at about 8.4 times its latest annual earnings per share.

What does Coal India Limited do?

Coal India is the world's largest coal miner and supplies most of the coal burned in India's power plants, with the government as majority owner. Volumes are steady and it pays out a large share of profit as dividends.

How is Coal India Limited's fair value calculated?

Intrynsic runs 5 valuation models for Coal India Limited (EV/EBITDA, EV/EBIT, P/E Multiple, DCF, DDM) and blends them into one estimated fair-value range. Every assumption - growth, discount rate, terminal value - is shown openly on this page.

Disclaimer: Intrynsic provides educational and informational analysis only. Fair-value figures are estimates based on stated assumptions - they are not investment advice, research recommendations, or an offer to transact in any security. Intrynsic is not a SEBI-registered investment adviser or research analyst. Markets carry risk; please do your own research or consult a registered adviser before making investment decisions. Prices shown may be delayed end-of-day values. Terms · Privacy

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