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Automobile and Auto Components · NSE: TMCV

Tata Motors Limited - Fair Value & Intrinsic Value Estimate

Intrynsic's multi-model valuation estimates Tata Motors Limited's fair value at ₹372 per share (range ₹362–₹571) against a market price of ₹430 - a gap of -13.5% (updated 29 September 2026). This is an estimated fair value based on stated assumptions, not investment advice.

Low ₹362Above fair-value est.High ₹571

Market price

₹430

close of 29 Sept 2026

Est. fair value

₹372

₹362–₹571

Gap

-13.5%

price vs estimate

Trading close to our estimated fair value (-14% gap). Assumptions and per-model workings are below.

What Tata Motors Limited does

Tata Motors is the commercial-vehicle company left after the 2025 demerger of its passenger-vehicle and Jaguar Land Rover business, making trucks and buses in India. Its results follow the freight and infrastructure cycle.

Automobile and Auto Components · Automobiles

Health signals

GrowthNot enough historyN/A

We need at least four years of results to judge growth.

ProfitabilityROE 23.8%Good

Every ₹100 of shareholder money earned ₹23.8 in profit last year, vs a sector median of 12.7%.

DebtD/E 0.44Good

It holds more cash than debt.

Valuation-14% vs estimateOkay

The market price is close to our estimated fair value (based on stated assumptions).

QualityNo dataN/A

Cash-flow history is too thin to judge earnings quality.

The valuation, explained- models, weights & assumptions ▾

Intrynsic values Tata Motors Limited with 3 independent models and blends them into one estimated fair-value range. Every number below is an estimate based on the stated assumptions - change the assumptions and the estimate changes.

ModelEstimated valuevs priceWeight
DCFFuture Cash Flows Method₹571+33%-
EV/EBITDAIndustry Comparison Method₹372-14%-
EV/EBITAfter-Depreciation Comparison Method₹362-16%-

Key assumptions

Risk-free rate
7.0%
Equity risk premium
6.5%
Beta
1.401
Cost of equity
16.1%
Terminal growth
5.0%
Tax rate
25%

Reverse DCF: today's market price implies the company must grow free cash flow about 9.3% a year for the next decade - versus 43.8% historical revenue growth.

Key financialsFY25–FY26

Full statements & analysis →
Revenue₹85,178 Cr
Net profit₹3,030 Cr
EPS₹16.46-
Free cash flow₹12,733 Cr
ROE (latest)23.8%

Peers

Sector overview →
SML Mahindra Limited₹9,045 CrP/E 56.6ROE 30.8%
Atul Auto Limited₹1,179 CrP/E 27.9ROE 8.9%
Ashok Leyland Limited₹88,579 CrP/E 25.5ROE 26.1%
Keto Motors Limited₹1,826 CrROE -0.4%
Ask AI about Tata Motors LimitedChat with Intrynsic's research agent about results, risks and filings.Sign up free →Track it in your watchlistFair-value alerts, result-day briefs and portfolio analytics.Sign up free →See the full model workingsEvery assumption, per-model trace, reverse DCF and peer lens.Sign up free →

Frequently asked questions

What is Tata Motors Limited's intrinsic value?

Intrynsic's multi-model valuation estimates Tata Motors Limited's fair value at ₹372 per share (range ₹362–₹571), last updated 29 September 2026. This is an estimate based on stated assumptions, not investment advice.

Is Tata Motors Limited overvalued or undervalued?

Tata Motors Limited trades at ₹430 against Intrynsic's estimated fair value of ₹372 - the market price is 14% above the estimate, i.e. above our estimated fair-value range. Different assumptions produce different estimates; see the model breakdown above.

What is Tata Motors Limited's P/E ratio?

Tata Motors Limited trades at about 26.1 times its latest annual earnings per share.

What does Tata Motors Limited do?

Tata Motors is the commercial-vehicle company left after the 2025 demerger of its passenger-vehicle and Jaguar Land Rover business, making trucks and buses in India. Its results follow the freight and infrastructure cycle.

How is Tata Motors Limited's fair value calculated?

Intrynsic runs 3 valuation models for Tata Motors Limited (DCF, EV/EBITDA, EV/EBIT) and blends them into one estimated fair-value range. Every assumption - growth, discount rate, terminal value - is shown openly on this page.

Disclaimer: Intrynsic provides educational and informational analysis only. Fair-value figures are estimates based on stated assumptions - they are not investment advice, research recommendations, or an offer to transact in any security. Intrynsic is not a SEBI-registered investment adviser or research analyst. Markets carry risk; please do your own research or consult a registered adviser before making investment decisions. Prices shown may be delayed end-of-day values. Terms · Privacy

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