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Fast Moving Consumer Goods · NSE: VBL

Varun Beverages Limited - Fair Value & Intrinsic Value Estimate

Intrynsic's multi-model valuation estimates Varun Beverages Limited's fair value at ₹199 per share (range ₹150–₹259) against a market price of ₹430 - a gap of -53.7% (updated 29 September 2026). This is an estimated fair value based on stated assumptions, not investment advice.

Low ₹150Above fair-value est.High ₹259

Market price

₹430

close of 29 Sept 2026

Est. fair value

₹199

₹150–₹259

Gap

-53.7%

price vs estimate

Trading ~54% above our estimated fair-value range. Assumptions and per-model workings are below.

What Varun Beverages Limited does

Varun Beverages is PepsiCo's bottler for India and several African markets, making and distributing Pepsi, 7Up, Sting and other drinks. Summer demand, new territories and distribution reach drive its growth.

Fast Moving Consumer Goods · Beverages

Health signals

GrowthRevenue +18.1%/yr (3y)Good

Over the last 3 years, revenue grew 18.1%/yr and profit grew 25.5%/yr.

ProfitabilityROE 15.6%Good

Every ₹100 of shareholder money earned ₹15.6 in profit last year, vs a sector median of 8.7%.

DebtD/E 0.13Good

Debt is only 0.13x shareholder equity — a light load.

Valuation-54% vs estimateWeak

The market price is above our estimated fair-value range (based on stated assumptions).

Quality₹0 cash per ₹100 profitOkay

About ₹0 of every ₹100 of reported profit turned into free cash (median, last 5 years); operating cash flow was positive in 5 of 5 years.

The valuation, explained- models, weights & assumptions ▾

Intrynsic values Varun Beverages Limited with 3 independent models and blends them into one estimated fair-value range. Every number below is an estimate based on the stated assumptions - change the assumptions and the estimate changes.

ModelEstimated valuevs priceWeight
Forward DCF₹150-65%-
EV/EBITDAIndustry Comparison Method₹199-54%-
P/E MultipleEarnings Multiple Method₹259-40%-

Key assumptions

Risk-free rate
7.0%
Equity risk premium
6.5%
Beta
0.784
Cost of equity
12.1%
Terminal growth
5.0%
Tax rate
25%

Key financialsFY16–FY25

Full statements & analysis →
Revenue₹21,685 Cr
Net profit₹3,062 Cr
EPS₹8.98
Free cash flow₹3,509 Cr
ROE (latest)15.6%
Revenue growth (CAGR)21.1%
Profit growth (CAGR)58.7%

Peers

ANS Limited₹19 CrP/E 8.1
Valencia Nutrition Limited₹106 CrP/E 101.8ROE 2.5%
Transglobe Foods Ltd.₹6 Cr
Orient Beverages Ltd.₹36 CrP/E 9.1ROE 16.0%
Ask AI about Varun Beverages LimitedChat with Intrynsic's research agent about results, risks and filings.Sign up free →Track it in your watchlistFair-value alerts, result-day briefs and portfolio analytics.Sign up free →See the full model workingsEvery assumption, per-model trace, reverse DCF and peer lens.Sign up free →

Frequently asked questions

What is Varun Beverages Limited's intrinsic value?

Intrynsic's multi-model valuation estimates Varun Beverages Limited's fair value at ₹199 per share (range ₹150–₹259), last updated 29 September 2026. This is an estimate based on stated assumptions, not investment advice.

Is Varun Beverages Limited overvalued or undervalued?

Varun Beverages Limited trades at ₹430 against Intrynsic's estimated fair value of ₹199 - the market price is 54% above the estimate, i.e. above our estimated fair-value range. Different assumptions produce different estimates; see the model breakdown above.

What is Varun Beverages Limited's P/E ratio?

Varun Beverages Limited trades at about 47.9 times its latest annual earnings per share.

What does Varun Beverages Limited do?

Varun Beverages is PepsiCo's bottler for India and several African markets, making and distributing Pepsi, 7Up, Sting and other drinks. Summer demand, new territories and distribution reach drive its growth.

How is Varun Beverages Limited's fair value calculated?

Intrynsic runs 3 valuation models for Varun Beverages Limited (Forward DCF, EV/EBITDA, P/E Multiple) and blends them into one estimated fair-value range. Every assumption - growth, discount rate, terminal value - is shown openly on this page.

Disclaimer: Intrynsic provides educational and informational analysis only. Fair-value figures are estimates based on stated assumptions - they are not investment advice, research recommendations, or an offer to transact in any security. Intrynsic is not a SEBI-registered investment adviser or research analyst. Markets carry risk; please do your own research or consult a registered adviser before making investment decisions. Prices shown may be delayed end-of-day values. Terms · Privacy

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