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Power · NSE: NTPC

NTPC Limited - Fair Value & Intrinsic Value Estimate

Fair value estimate

Intrynsic's multi-model valuation estimates NTPC Limited's fair value at ₹323 per share (range ₹154–₹386) against a market price of ₹298 (close of 23 Oct 2026): the estimate is 8% above the price. Estimate updated 23 October 2026. This is an estimated fair value based on stated assumptions, not investment advice.

Market price

₹298

close of 23 Oct 2026

Est. fair value

₹323

₹154–₹386

Estimate vs price

+8.3%

estimate above price

Price ₹298Fair value ₹323
Low ₹154High ₹386

Near fair-value est.

Ask AI about NTPC

About NTPC Limited

NTPC is India's largest power generator, running mostly coal plants under regulated returns while building a large renewables pipeline. The government owns a majority stake.

Key numbers & health

Revenue
₹1.87L Cr

FY26

Net profit
₹27.5K Cr

FY26

EPS
₹27.9

FY26

Free cash flow
₹6.9K Cr

FY26

GrowthRevenue +2.1%/yr (3y) · +9.6%/yr (9y)Okay

Over the last 3 years, revenue grew 2.1%/yr and profit grew 17.2%/yr. Over 9 years, revenue grew 9.6%/yr and profit 11.1%/yr.

ProfitabilityROE 13.6%Good

Every ₹100 of shareholder money earned ₹13.6 in profit last year, vs a sector median of 9.8%.

DebtD/E 1.33Weak

Debt is 1.33x shareholder equity and 4.2x yearly operating earnings — a heavy load.

Valuation+8% vs estimateOkay

The market price is close to our estimated fair value (based on stated assumptions).

Quality₹44 cash per ₹100 profitOkay

About ₹44 of every ₹100 of reported profit turned into free cash (median, last 5 years); operating cash flow was positive in 5 of 5 years.

Peers

Adani Power Limited₹3,63,538 CrP/E 28.3ROE 20.0%Fair-value estimate →Power Grid Corporation of India Limited₹2,34,021 CrP/E 14.7ROE 15.8%Fair-value estimate →Adani Green Energy Limited₹2,12,349 CrP/E 128.5ROE 9.9%Fair-value estimate →Adani Energy Solutions Limited₹1,57,540 CrP/E 69.0ROE 9.4%Fair-value estimate →Tata Power Company Limited₹1,08,412 CrP/E 28.9ROE 13.0%Fair-value estimate →
Ask AI about NTPC LimitedChat with Intrynsic's research agent about results, risks and filings.Sign up free →Track it in your watchlistFair-value alerts, result-day briefs and portfolio analytics.Sign up free →See the full model workingsEvery assumption, per-model trace, reverse DCF and peer lens.Sign up free →

Frequently asked questions

What is NTPC Limited's intrinsic value?

Intrynsic's multi-model valuation estimates NTPC Limited's fair value at ₹323 per share (range ₹154–₹386), last updated 23 October 2026. This is an estimate based on stated assumptions, not investment advice.

Is NTPC Limited overvalued or undervalued?

NTPC Limited trades at ₹298 against Intrynsic's estimated fair value of ₹323 - the market price is 8% below the estimate, i.e. below our estimated fair-value range. Different assumptions produce different estimates; see the model breakdown above.

What is NTPC Limited's P/E ratio?

NTPC Limited trades at about 10.7 times its latest annual earnings per share.

What does NTPC Limited do?

NTPC is India's largest power generator, running mostly coal plants under regulated returns while building a large renewables pipeline. The government owns a majority stake.

How is NTPC Limited's fair value calculated?

Intrynsic runs 3 valuation models for NTPC Limited (DCF, EV/EBITDA, EV/EBIT) and blends them into one estimated fair-value range. Every assumption - growth, discount rate, terminal value - is shown openly on this page.

Disclaimer: Intrynsic provides educational and informational analysis only. Fair-value figures are estimates based on stated assumptions- they are not investment advice, research recommendations, or an offer to transact in any security. The models rely on assumptions (discount rates, growth, multiples) that may prove wrong and on past financials, which do not guarantee future results; prices also move on macro factors the models don't capture. Intrynsic is not a SEBI-registered investment adviser or research analyst. Markets carry risk; please do your own research or consult a registered adviser before making investment decisions. Prices shown may be delayed end-of-day values. Terms · Privacy

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